── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Marton Fucsovics
80%20%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#59
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
HUN
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevMarton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard40
Grass10
Clay11
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassR32Daniil Medvedev4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR128Marton Fucsovics6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-1
2019-02-04SofiaHardFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Daniil Medvedev6-7(4) 6-2 7-5
2016-08-08Portoroz CHHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-2