── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Nick Kyrgios
97%3%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#180
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevNick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard13
Clay01
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2022-08-29Us OpenHardR16Nick Kyrgios7-6(11) 3-6 6-3 6-2
2022-08-08Canada MastersHardR32Nick Kyrgios6-7(2) 6-4 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardR64Daniil Medvedev7-6(1) 6-4 4-6 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonHardFNick Kyrgios7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2019-05-13Rome MastersClayR64Nick Kyrgios6-3 3-6 6-3