── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Quentin Halys
84%16%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Quentin Halys
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#88
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Quentin Halys
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(9) 6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2015-03-16 | France F6 | Hard | R16 | Quentin Halys | 7-6(7) 6-4 |