── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Kamil Majchrzak
82%18%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POL
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(4) 6-3 6-2 |