── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Cameron Norrie
72%28%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
GBR
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Clay1–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-3 4-6 1-6 7-5 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2022-08-01 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2019-10-07 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-1 |