── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Botic Van De Zandschulp
72%28%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#48
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-08-30 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5 |