Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev
9–2
head to head
Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Andrey Rublev
63%37%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
RUS
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard9–2
── 11 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-29HangzhouHardFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsHardRRDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiHardFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2022-11-14Tour FinalsHardRRAndrey Rublev6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardSFAndrey Rublev2-6 6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3 6-2
2020-08-31Us OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5)
2019-09-16St. PetersburgHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-5
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
2016-10-24Budapest CHHardR16Daniil Medvedev6-3 6-2