── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Benjamin Bonzi
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#94
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Benjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-3 7-5 6-7(5) 0-6 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Benjamin Bonzi | 7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2017-10-23 | Brest CH | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 3-6 7-6(2) |
| 2017-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Benjamin Bonzi | 5-7 6-4 6-1 3-1 RET |