── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Roman Safiullin
71%29%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
RUS
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-28HangzhouHardSFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4