── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Alejandro Tabilo
70%30%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
CHI
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |