── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Arthur Rinderknech
71%29%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
91th · elite
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Arthur Rinderknech | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 6-3 |