── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniel Altmaier
84%16%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
34th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#108
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GER
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Carpet1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Halle | Grass | QF | Daniel Altmaier | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2016-02-15 | Switzerland F2 | Carpet | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 2-6 6-4 |