── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Nuno Borges
79%21%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#55
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POR
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-7(7) 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-0 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 7-6(4) 5-7 6-1 |