── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Tallon Griekspoor
78%22%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | W/O |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Tallon Griekspoor | 2-6 7-6(7) 7-5 |