── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Jaume Munar
75%25%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Jaume Munar
55th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Jaume Munar
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ESP
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevJaume Munar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-3
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Jaume Munar6-2 6-3