── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Corentin Moutet
79%21%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Corentin Moutet | 7-6(3) 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 4-6 6-3 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | QF | Corentin Moutet | 1-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-06-21 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |