── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Ugo Humbert
74%26%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Clay0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Ugo Humbert | 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 6-4 6-3 |