── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Yibing Wu
80%20%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Yibing Wu
37th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Yibing Wu
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#85
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CHN
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Yibing Wu
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | QF | Yibing Wu | 5-7 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 6-2 |