── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Hugo Gaston
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#111
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(7) 6-4 |