── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Adam Walton
85%15%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Adam Walton
42th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Adam Walton
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–2
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Adam Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Adam Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 7-6(0) |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Adam Walton | 6-7(0) 6-4 6-1 |