── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74%26%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Thiago Agustin Tirante
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |