── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Francisco Cerundolo
62%38%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
59th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 |