── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Jenson Brooksby
89%11%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Jenson Brooksby
17th · poor
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Jenson Brooksby
65th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#129
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevJenson Brooksby
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-1
2022-03-21Miami MastersHardR16Daniil Medvedev7-5 6-1