── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Fabian Marozsan
82%18%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#68
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
HUN
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(5) 4-6 7-5 6-0 6-3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 7-6(5) |