── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Dalibor Svrcina
86%14%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Dalibor Svrcina
1th · poor
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Dalibor Svrcina
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CZE
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevDalibor Svrcina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-1
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-4