── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Jack Draper
67%33%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
GBR
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 6-4 |