── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Tomas Machac
71%29%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CZE
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | W/O |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(4) 7-5 1-6 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |