── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
85%15%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
51th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#119
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ESP
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Daniil Medvedev3-6 6-4 6-2