── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Valentin Royer
84%16%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#114
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(6) 6-3 |