── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Terence Atmane
84%16%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Terence Atmane
75th · strong
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Terence Atmane
10th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#110
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Terence Atmane
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-17HalleGrassR16Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardR128Daniil Medvedev5-7 6-2 6-4 1-0 RET