── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Coleman Wong
83%17%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 98% / 2%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Coleman Wong
56th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Coleman Wong
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
HKG
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Coleman Wong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3 |