── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Juncheng Shang
85%15%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Juncheng Shang
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#96
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
CHN
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevJuncheng Shang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-3
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-2