── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Juncheng Shang
86%14%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
CHN
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-1 6-3
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-2