── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Nishesh Basavareddy
84%16%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Nishesh Basavareddy
19th · poor
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Nishesh Basavareddy
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#5
model rank
#91
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniil MedvedevNishesh Basavareddy
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17HangzhouHardR16Daniil Medvedev6-2 6-3