── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniil Medvedev
Martin Landaluce
86%14%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Martin Landaluce
20th · below avg
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Martin Landaluce
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ESP
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Daniil Medvedev■ Martin Landaluce
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayQFDaniil Medvedev1-6 6-4 7-5