── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roberto Bautista Agut
41%59%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#164
model rank
#130
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q2 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 5-7 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | SF | Roberto Bautista Agut | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 |