── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roberto Carballes Baena
50%50%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q1 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2015-05-11 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | QF | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |