── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thanasi Kokkinakis a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roberto Carballes Baena
52%48%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84th · strong
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
49th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#164
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q1 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2015-05-11 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | QF | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |