── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thanasi Kokkinakis a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Yoshihito Nishioka
51%49%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
49th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#164
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
JPN
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-06AdelaideHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis6-3 3-6 6-3
2014-08-25US OpenHardQ2Yoshihito Nishioka7-5 4-6 6-4