── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Yoshihito Nishioka
43%57%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 59% / 41%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#149
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
JPN
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thanasi KokkinakisYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-06AdelaideHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis6-3 3-6 6-3
2014-08-25US OpenHardQ2Yoshihito Nishioka7-5 4-6 6-4