── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Alexander Bublik
16%84%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average
Alexander Bublik
49th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#164
model rank
#28
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
KAZ
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Alexander Bublik4-6 6-3 6-7(10) 6-3 6-4
2018-02-26AcapulcoHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis6-4 6-3