── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexei Popyrin 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Alexei Popyrin
31%69%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#149
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thanasi KokkinakisAlexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosClayR128Thanasi Kokkinakis4-6 7-6(8) 6-3 5-7 6-3
2023-02-13Manama CHHardQFThanasi Kokkinakis6-3 7-6(5)
2023-01-09Adelaide 2HardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis6-0 6-7(5) 7-5