── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Alexei Popyrin
31%69%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 7-6(8) 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-02-13 | Manama CH | Hard | QF | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-0 6-7(5) 7-5 |

