── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Alexei Popyrin
32%68%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
49th · average
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#164
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q1 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 2-3 RET |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 7-6(8) 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-02-13 | Manama CH | Hard | QF | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-0 6-7(5) 7-5 |