── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Sebastian Korda
13%87%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#16
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 3-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | QF | Sebastian Korda | W/O |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 RET |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-02-14 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 6-1 |