── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Jack Draper
16%84%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
GBR
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Jack Draper | 6-7(3) 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Jack Draper | 6-3 3-6 7-5 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs GBR | Hard | RR | Jack Draper | 6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(4) |

