── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jack Draper 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Jack Draper
19%81%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#164
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
GBR
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thanasi Kokkinakis■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR64Jack Draper6-7(3) 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-3
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Jack Draper6-3 3-6 7-5
2024-02-19Los CabosHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2023-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs GBRHardRRJack Draper6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(4)