── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luca Nardi a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thanasi Kokkinakis
Luca Nardi
47%53%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Luca Nardi
45th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#149
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thanasi KokkinakisLuca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubGrassQ1Thanasi Kokkinakis6-2 6-7(3) 7-5