── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Alexander Zverev
9%91%
Hard: 5% / 95%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#99
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
GER
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Cristian GarinAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay22
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev4-6 6-4 7-5
2024-04-15MunichClayQFCristian Garin6-4 6-4
2022-05-09Rome MastersClayQFAlexander Zverev7-5 6-2
2019-04-29MunichClayQFCristian Garin6-4 5-7 7-5