── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Nikoloz Basilashvili
58%42%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#135
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
GEO
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q2 | Cristian Garin | 7-5 6-0 |