── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Elias Ymer
75%25%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Elias Ymer
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
SWE
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | Q2 | Cristian Garin | 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2025-05-12 | Oeiras 5 CH | Clay | R16 | Cristian Garin | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Cristian Garin | 6-3 7-5 6-4 |