── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cristian Garin 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Cristian Garin
Yosuke Watanuki
73%27%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Yosuke Watanuki
7th · poor
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Yosuke Watanuki
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#98
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Cristian Garin■ Yosuke Watanuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ1Cristian Garin6-4 6-4