── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Tomas Barrios Vera
56%44%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#121
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
CHI
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Montevideo CH | Clay | SF | Cristian Garin | 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Mauthausen CH | Clay | F | Cristian Garin | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Q1 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Cristian Garin | 2-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | R32 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 7-6(3) 7-5 |