── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
24%76%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard0–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-10-18 | Antwerp | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2020-02-24 | Santiago | Clay | R16 | Cristian Garin | 6-2 0-6 7-6(4) |