── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Jesper De Jong
53%47%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
NED
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Cristian Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 |