── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Cristian Garin
Timofey Skatov
69%31%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Return
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Timofey Skatov
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
KAZ
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Cristian Garin■ Timofey Skatov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | Lima 2 CH | Clay | R32 | Cristian Garin | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q3 | Cristian Garin | 6-2 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-02-04 | Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs CHI | Clay | RR | Timofey Skatov | 6-1 6-3 |